I appreciate every Minnesota season, but summers here defy the imagination: a warm blur of water, family and cabin-related injuries. If I could I'd freeze-frame, memorize and replay every July. Not nearly as soggy as June, July is Nirvana, one luxurious, postcard-perfect month before talk of the State Fair & Back To School Sales.
Yes, I'm a fan of July, in spite of the peaking heat and drippy dew points. Like all good things in life a Minnesota July is a something to be unwrapped slowly, a gift - fleeting and ephemeral.
No, I'm not on the payroll of the Minnesota Chamber of Commerce. But for a kid weened on the Jersey Shore, dodging syringes, jellyfish & hurricanes, there is nothing that compares with Minnesota's lakes, parks and trails. This is why most of us don't run off to Arizona for good.
A frontal boundary arrives with a few strong to severe T-storms today; any hail will impact a tiny percentage of the state. We dry out tomorrow on northwest winds as dew points dip into the comfortable 50s.
90F may return next weekend with more T-storms and antiperspirant-defying levels of humidity.
Summer came late this year, but we're about to seriously make up for lost time.
- Clay Hagen, Plymouth
Clay, I can definitely relate to your explanation. My dog (Leo) is trying to find a few cool spots, and he relates as well. But if you're looking for the origin of the expression I stand by my explanation. To be honest, I was surprised too - I honestly thought the phrase came from watching pets grapple with the heat. Those ancient Greeks knew how to have a good time, huh? Thanks for the note and the chuckle.
Stormiest Day Of The Week. Today should be the wettest day of the next 4-5 days, a few hours of heavy showers and T-storms. We dry out and cool down (slightly) tomorrow as dew points drop into the 50s, before heating up again late week. It's early, but ECMWF guidance suggests Sunday will be the wetter day of the weekend with the best chance of T-storms.
84 Hour Outlook. An eastbound cool front sparks strong to severe T-storms from the Upper Midwest into the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley today, while the soggy remains of Chantal pinwheel toward the Bahamas and possibly Florida by late week, and the west stays bone-dry. Source: NOAA.
* Long-range models suggest a heightened risk for the Bahamas and Florida by the end of this week and weekend, with potentially heavy rains and a moderate storm surge. It's too early to say with any certainty whether Chantal will track into the Gulf of Mexico or turn up the East Coast.
Summary: Chantal is a Cape Verde class tropical storm sweeping off the coast of Africa, coming about a month earlier than usual. Conditions are ripe for slow strengthening, with at least a 30-35% risk of a Category 1 hurricane pushing into the Bahamas by Friday of this week. Impacts to Florida, the East Coast or Gulf Coast are still highly speculative. With this briefing we're sending up an early flare - we just want to make sure this is on your personal radar; we'll update you as conditions warrant and the threat level to Caribbean and U.S. interests rises or falls.
Photo credit above: "The wreckage of Asiana Airlines Flight 214 that crashed upon landing Saturday at San Francisco International Airport sits on the tarmac Monday, July 8, 2013 in San Francisco. Investigators said the Boeing 777 was traveling "significantly below" the target speed during its approach and that the crew tried to abort the landing just before it smashed onto the runway on Saturday, July 6. Two of the 307 passengers aboard were killed." (AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
* photo above: Brad Birkholz.
Photo credit above: "Steven Levitt, author of SuperFreakonomics, in Chicago, 2005." Photograph: Tom Maday for the Guardian.