In the end - all we have to hold onto are memories - with any luck, most of them good. The act of heading up to the cabin is an incomparable family-memory-maker. This week I'll remember the vaguely pathetic cheers as I pulled a 12 inch Northern Pike in the boat. Wait, it must have been closer to 24 inches, come to think of it.
Laughter & squeals of delight from tubers. Strangers thanking me for a "perfect week". Unplugging the Doppler for 6 straight days. Unheard of, at least since March. We earned this break. I'm so glad it came when it did.
The approach of a juicy warm front and a dew point near 70 sets off a few T-storms today. A tiny percentage may turn severe, especially well north of the Twin Cities. Expect enough sun for 80s; a shot at 90F south of St. Cloud today. Tuesday looks like the wettest day, with numerous showers and T-storms - then drying out and warming up again the latter half of next week.
Model guidance is hinting at 90s by the end of next week, spilling into next weekend.
15 hours and 29 minutes of daylight today. That compares with 8 hours, 46 minutes December 21. That solstice buzz is lingering; statistically, the hottest days still 2 weeks away!
Slight Severe Risk. NOAA SPC has a slight risk for much of the Dakotas and parts of northern, central and southwestern Minnesota; sufficient instability and low level moisture for hail and high winds with a few cells later today, mainly north of the Twin Cities.
Stuck. Again, the sheer persistence of the current pattern is impressive - weather systems in a holding pattern pumping Gulf moisture northward into the Southeast and Ohio Valley, with another 4-6"+ of rain over the next 5 das from the Gulf Coast northward to Louisville and Columbus. The Minnesota Arrowhead may pick up some 1-2" amounts by the middle of next week.
Above Average. We may hit 90 each of the next 3 days over southern MInnesota (assuming there's any sun and it doesn't rain all day - both fairly good assumptions). The best chance of pop-up T-storms comes over central and northern Minnesota, more widespread (heavy) showers and T-storms Tuesday. We heat up again the end of next week; more 90-degree temperatures possible next Friday into the weekend of July 13-14. ECMWF guidance above for the Twin Cities.
Image credit above: Brad Birkholz.