The person who said "there's no such thing as bad weather - just poor clothing choices" obviously hasn't spent any time in Minnesota this year. I think I've enjoyed a grand total of two Adirondack-chair-worthy evenings since ice went off the lake. Yes, the drought is easing, everything is lush & green, but the stubborn cool & gray has many of us in a dark March-like funk.
Planalytics says the Memorial Day weekend was the coolest since 2005, nationwide. No wonder we feel cheated: Memorial Day 2012 was the warmest in 50 years.
It feels like Mother Nature is driving under the influence, swerving from one crazy extreme to the next.
Warm fronts seem to tire before reaching our latitude, but a slow-motion boundary finally breaks through with 70s; high dew points & instability fueling severe storms later today, again Thursday. It's going to be a tough month for severe storms - just a hunch.
We dry out Friday, cool off Saturday with a few showers up north. Sunday may restore your faith in spring, before the next round of heavy storms arrives next Tuesday. As long as the front separating cool from hot loiters nearby it's going to be tough to break out into sustained 80s & 90s.
* Flood Disaster Emergency declared for 13 Iowa counties. Details here.
A Volatile Pattern. The NAM model shows showers and T-storms pushing eastward across the Plains and Midwest, reaching the Ohio Valley by Friday. Cooler weather pushes into the Upper Midwest by the end of the week. Summer is still on indefinite hold across much of the USA.
Photo credit above: "The funnel of a tornado touches the ground near South Haven, Kan., last week. It was part of a massive storm front that swept north through the central U.S." (Gene Blevins, Reuters).
Budget Cuts Will Hinder Our Ability To Predict Severe Weather. The dreaded "sequester" may be showing up at a local National Weather Service office near you; here's an excerpt from LiveScience and Business Insider: "The tornado that hit Moore, Okla., on Monday (May 23) killed an estimated two dozen people and caused devastating property damage. Residents had advance warning of the storm, thanks to weather forecasts. But with forced budget cuts in effect, forecasters may not be adequately prepared for future natural disasters. In March, $85 billion in across-the-board spending cuts, known as the sequester, took effect. The cuts slashed 8.2 percent from the 2013 operating budgets of most federal agencies. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) suffered a 7 percent reduction in its fiscal year 2013 budget as a result of sequestration. Thinned-out staffs and under-maintained equipment could hinder the agency's ability to give timely and accurate weather forecasts, experts say..."
1) Cherry picking;
2) Fake experts;
3) Misrepresentation and logical fallacies.
4) Impossible expectations of what research can deliver; and
5) Conspiracy theories;.."
Photo credit above: "The International Energy Agency estimates that one-third of emissions reductions must come from energy efficiency in order to avoid the worst impacts of climate change."