"Any day you can drag yourself to the window and look outside is a GOOD DAY" my late grandfather liked to remind me. He was right. If your kids are healthy & you don't have to forage for dinner how bad can it be?
I thought I was having a challenging year until I read about the travails of Erik Norrie who lives in the Tampa area. Recovering from a recent shark bite, Norrie went on to explain that he's also been struck by lightning, bitten by a rattlesnake, and punched by monkeys (twice). Details below. I'm feeling better about my year.
You may be feeling luckier after checking out the 7-Day. Yesterday's T-storms are long gone - a fresh transfusion of Canadian air will make it feel like mid-September today. Free A/C for everyone! Friday may be even cooler; highs in the 60s up north with a risk of sweatshirts.
I'm still cautiously optimistic about the weekend. Yes, it will fall on a Saturday and Sunday. Any other questions? A consensus of weather models keep most of the showers and T-storms south and west of Minnesota (although an instability PM shower may pop over the Minnesota Arrowhead). Highs hold in the 70s, with some 60s up north. Perfectly normal for the third week of September.
The Perseid Meteor Shower peaks this weekend. With less haze, great visibility (and no moon to compete with) your odds of seeing a lucky shooting star just went up.
* image credit above here.
1.75" diameter hail reported at Bloomington and Eden Prairie. 2" hail pelted Edina as the first wave of severe weather pushed thru. For the latest severe reports from the National Weather Service click here.
Image credit: "A satellite image shows Hurricane Floyd spinning off the East Coast in September, 1999." AP Photo.
Photo credit above: Richard Rowe / Reuters/Landov. "A mile-wide tornado near El Reno, Okla. on May 31, 2013."
Image above and additional information on car/kid safety during hot weather from Consumer Reports.
Photo credit above: "Cropland values surged 20 percent in Minnesota from last year after farmers posted their best year in decades." Photo: Brian Peterson, Star Tribune
Image credit above: "The radiant for the Perseids, looking to the NE from latitude ~30N at around 2AM local." Created by the Author in Starry Night).
A 45 Day Forecast? The models have (some) skill out 15 days or so, depending on the pattern, at least for precipitation and temperature for a specific point, but 45 days into the future? Sometimes we can detect trends, based on El Nino or La Nina, but a precise temperature/rainfall prediction for late September for a given town? Not possible, at least not with any demonstrable skill. Here's a post from meteorologist Dan Satterfield at AGU Blogosphere: "AccuWeather announced today that they are now producing “revolutionary” 45 day weather forecasts. Yes, you read that right, and while the public in general has a rather low understanding of science, I don’t think most people are that gullible. My first thoughts were that it might be a way of getting some free advertising, but perhaps they’re really serious. Let me first be clear and tell you that synoptic weather forecasts are about 90% accurate out to 1 day, and are fairly accurate out to 5 days most of the time. Beyond 7 days the best forecast is to use is the 30 year averages..."
* is it just me, but "punched by monkeys twice" made me a little weak in the knees. That may be the most remarkable sentence I've ever seen in print. After the first monkey mugging I think I'd get the message....
Photo credit above: "Flooded homes in Deggendorf, Germany on June 6, 2013. Riverside cities throughout Central Europe braced themselves, as rivers like the Danube and Elbe continued to surge. The region has been hit by inundations this week, following days of extreme rain, with some areas seeing flood levels not recorded in more than 500 years." Photographer: Armin Weigel/EPA
Photo credit above: Bryan Chan / Los Angeles Times. "An oil rig operates in the Book Cliffs area, which is in the Uintah Basin. A federally backed study has found that 9 percent of methane produced from drilling sites in a portion of Utah's Uintah Basin escaped into the atmosphere."
Image credit above: "Natural-gas operations in areas such as Wyoming’s Jonah Field could release far more methane into the atmosphere than previously thought." J. SARTORE/NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC STOCK
Photo credit above: "The more ice melts, the more the Arctic warms, melting more ice." (Image: Panu Lahtinen, FMI).
Image credit above: "Artist's conception of a commercial hydrogen production plant that uses sunlight to split water to produce clean hydrogen fuel." (Image: University of Colorado Boulder).
Photo credit above: "Although coal mines, such as this one in Appalachia, have been hit by shale gas, the total amount of carbon the US extracts is now higher than ever." Photograph: Les Stone/Corbis
Image credit above: "Silent revolution. Ambitious ideas on the table for hybrid-like planes could mean the airliner of the future may look, feel and sound very different to today’s models." (Copyright: EADS)
Photo credit above: "Scientists use a plasmonic solar cell that uses the bizarre laws of quantum mechanics to achieve high efficiency at low cost."