During an "average summer" (oxymoron) residents of the Twin Cities enjoy 13 days at/above 90F. So far this year we've had 9 days of 90-plus; the last time we sizzled above 90F was July 18. It looks like we're about to make up for lost time.
The same inflamed airmass sparking massive fires across Oregon and Idaho will spark 4-6 days at/above 90F the next 9 days. Dew points surge into the 70s by midweek, making it feel like 100F in the shade.
Heading to the State Fair later this week? Stay hydrated, try to avoid the midday sun - take frequent breaks. Is the Food Court air conditioned? I seriously doubt it.
T-storms may flare up late Wednesday into Friday, providing temporary relief - no widespread cooling is expected until the first week of September.
Will we have a mild autumn? The atmosphere has an uncanny ability to "even things out". Considering snow lingered into May and it's been unseasonably cool for the last 4 weeks I suspect we'll enjoy a warmer than average autumn, continuing the trend of recent decades. Odds favor a very mild El Nino into the winter months, meaning a very slight mild bias. We'll see.
For now prepare for one of the hotter weeks of the summer.
* photo above: FEMA.
Photo credit above: Jim Urquhart / Reuters. "A tanker helicopter drops water as a firefighter works to douse a hot spot at the Beaver Creek wildfire outside Hailey, Idaho, on Saturday."
Photo credit above: "A helicopter descends in the Golden Eagle Subdivsion to refill with water from a pond while battling the Beaver Creek Fire on Saturday, Aug. 17, 2013 north of Hailey, Idaho." (AP Photo/Times-News, Ashley Smith).
Quiet In The Tropics - For Now. Here is an excerpt of an Alerts Broadcaster briefing that went out Sunday morning:
Summary: the potential for tropical storm formation has dropped close to zero for South Texas, but moisture from that dying tropical wave is fueling very heavy thunderstorms, which have temporarily stalled near Mobile and Pensacola, setting up a scenario for serious flash flooding today and Monday. Otherwise the tropics are (temporarily) quiet with no major risks looking out 7-10 days, but hurricane potential may heat up after September 1. Meanwhile portions of China and Russia are experiencing the worst flooding in over a century. We'll keep you posted.
Photo credit: ITAR/TASS. "An aerial view of a flooded village in the Amur region in Russia's Far East on August 14."
Photo credit above: "Flood waters sweep the Bolshoy Ussuriysky island near the city of Khabarovsk." (RIA Novosti/Vitaliy Ankov). Courtesy of RT.com.
40 Maps That Explain The World. I thought this was interesting and visual, one of 40 maps that put global trends into perspective, courtesy of The Washington Post. Here's an excerpt: "Maps can be a remarkably powerful tool for understanding the world and how it works, but they show only what you ask them to. So when we saw a post sweeping the Web titled “40 maps they didn’t teach you in school,” one of which happens to be a WorldViews original, I thought we might be able to contribute our own collection. Some of these are pretty nerdy, but I think they’re no less fascinating and easily understandable. A majority are original to this blog (see our full maps coverage here), with others from a variety of sources. I’ve included a link for further reading on close to every one..."
Graphic credit above: "This NASA moving image, recorded by satellite over a full year as part of their Blue Marble Project, shows the ebb and flow of the seasons and vegetation. Both are absolutely crucial factors in every facet of human existence — so crucial we barely even think about them. It’s also a reminder that the Earth is, for all its political and social and religious divisions, still unified by the natural phenomena that make everything else possible."
* photo above: AP, Kansas City Star, David Eulitt.
Map credit above: Tim McDonnell/Climate Desk.
Photo credit above: "Summer ice cover in the Arctic has dropped by more than 40% over the last few decades." Photograph: Goncalo Diniz/Alamy.
Photo credit above: "A view of North America's tallest peak, Mount McKinley, on Tuesday, Aug. 13, 2013, from the Stony Dome area of Denali National Park and Preserve, Alaska." (AP Photo/Becky Bohrer).
Photo credit above: "The United Nations this week will weigh an agreement to regulate activity in international waters outside the jurisdiction of any country. Above, a sea turtle swims near a coral reef in the Pacific Ocean." (Steve De Neef / Greenpeace/EPA )
Photo credit above: " Photo: ASHLEY COOPERS/ALAMY.
Earth has 'low-grade fever'
“God’s creation is telling us it’s running a fever—a low-grade fever,” she said. People traditionally view weather patterns like a driver whose eyes are fixed on the rearview mirror, without considering changing conditions, she said. The climatological history of the High Plains demonstrates cyclical change between hot and cold, wet and dry..."
Photo credit above: "Herb Grover, dean of the School of Mathematics and Sciences at Wayland Baptist University, moderates a forum on the Plainview campus featuring Katharine Hayhoe, director of the Climate Science Center at Texas Tech University." (PHOTO/Wayland Baptist University).