My father, who lives about 90 minutes west of Philadelphia, described crawling on all fours to get the mail yesterday - his driveway covered in glaze ice. He's excited about Saturday's warm front; highs soaring into the 60s. "Is it warming up for you too?" he asked.
We were all happy to see 30s yesterday. That's a baby-step in the right direction, here in the Land of Pathetically Low Weather Expectations.
It's inevitable, Canada will sneeze more frosty air south of the border in the coming weeks, but I'm starting to wonder (out loud) if January may wind up being a little milder than December - which doesn't happen very often. After a numbing breeze Sunday & Monday highs reach the 20s for Christmas; temperatures above average the last 3-4 days of this year.
NOAA's CFS model shows a relatively mild first half of January, as the pattern shifts slightly, allowing more Pacific air to reach Minnesota. And no, don't bet the farm on a 45-day trend.
The approach of colder air sets off 1-3 inches of snow tonight; heavier snow spreads from Des Moines to Green Bay Sunday, detouring to our south/east.
Finally NOAA reports that, globally, 2013 may wind up as the 4th warmest on record.
Another Snow Burst. It looks like an inch or two for most of the metro area later today and tonight as a ripple of low pressure advances along a surge of colder air, just enough to ice up a few roads with temperatures in the teens. NAM guidance above: NOAA and Ham Weather.
Sunday Snow-Streak. A storm over the southwestern USA will track across the Plains into the Great Lakes, putting down a narrow carpet of snow from Kansas City to the Quad Cities, Rockford, Madison, Milwaukee and the Chicago area, probably enough to shove and plow. Source: NOAA's 12km NAM and Ham Weather.
An Early Case Of Spring Fever? Forget the January Thaw, we're talking a glimpse of April-like warmth for much of the eastern USA on Saturday on the warm side of the storm: 70s into Washington D.C., 60s into Philadelphia, Pittsburgh and New York City, where there are still piles of slushy snow from a series of recent storms. GFS guidance: WeatherBell.
Close To Average Late December into First Half of January? Perhaps that's just wishful thinking, but NOAA's CFS (Climate Forecast System) extended model shows temperatures in the 20s and even a few low 30s the last few days of 2012 and roughly the first half of January, 2014. Will we see more arctic fronts? Count on it, but I still think there's a slightly better than 50-50 chance that January will be milder, overall, than December. Map: NOAA and Ham Weather.
Image credit above: "Global average surface temperatures departures from average for November 2013, compared to the 30-year average from 1981-2010." Credit: NOAA.
Image credit above: NASA Ames/JPL-Caltech.
Image credit: "Photographs or other instruments can tell the difference between a supermoon and ordinary full moon. The supermoon of March 19, 2011 (right), compared to an average moon of December 20, 2010 (left)." Image by Marco Langbroek of the Netherlands via Wikimedia Commons.
Video caption above: "Remember the Apple Newton? How about Netscape? Even if these products did not last until the present, they left their mark in the evolution of personal technology. For his final WSJ video column, Walt Mossberg takes us through the last 20 years."
a) “Come on you guys, it’s actually pretty good, give Avril a chance.” or b) “Come on y’all, it’s actually pretty good, give Avril a chance.” Definitely an important question, answerable through geography, as the above map shows. Kentucky remains a bizarre outpost of “you all” usage which just sounds overly formal if you ask me..."
Map credit above: Joshua Katz, Department of Statistics, NC State University.
Image credit above: Katrina Tuliao/Wikimedia Commons.
Photo credit above: Peter Essick. "Inuit people harvest potatoes in southern Greenland, where temperatures have been rising rapidly." View the photo essay.
Graphic credit above: .
Photo credit above: "Santa could make his home on floating sea ice, but the Arctic may be ice free as early as 2016, according to the U.S. Navy." Image via NOAA.
In a second study reported in the same , Ranney and his colleagues presented college students with a somewhat longer version of this explanation (a full 400 words), and found that doing so not only increased students' understanding of global warming, but also their acceptance that it's actually occurring..."Earth transforms sunlight's visible light energy into infrared light energy, which leaves Earth slowly because it is absorbed by greenhouse gases. When people produce greenhouse gases, energy leaves Earth even more slowly – raising Earth's temperature.
Photo credit above: Shutterstock/alphaspirit