Warmer than average temperatures predicted thru December for much of the USA east of the Rockies. Source: NOAA CPC. Details below.
3rd warmest summer on record for the USA. Source: NOAA NCDC.
Saturday Severe Storm Reports. The outbreak wasn't as bad as previously feared: 3 confirmed tornadoes east of San Antonio, with hail and damaging winds into Missouri and Kansas. Details from SPC.
We Just Can't Buy A Storm. NOAA HPC is predicting some 2-3"+ rainfall amounts from the Quad Cities, Chicago and Milwaukee into Lower Michigan. Over 4" of rain may soak the Seattle - Tacoma area over the next 5 days, while dry weather persists over the southwest.
Photo credit above: "Eden Valley farmer Tom Haag emptied corn into a holding wagon used to shuttle the grain to a nearby semi-trailer for transport back to the farmstead and a storage container." Jim Gehrz, Star Tribune.
Photo credit above: "In this photo taken Tuesday, Oct. 2, 2012, farmer Bob Schaefers walks from the exit of a trail through his corn maze near Lollie, Ark. Devastating spring freezes and this year's historic drought have taken some of the charm out of rustic fall destinations, leaving some corn mazes too short for labyrinth duty, orchards virtually devoid of U-pick apples and fall colors muted." (AP Photo/Danny Johnston)
Photo credit above: "Flames roar down the hill toward Paschal Sherman Indian School shortly after 51 live-in students were evacuated from the campus six miles from Omak, Wash., on Tuesday, Oct. 2, 2012." (AP Photo/The Omak-Okanogan County Chronicle, Cary Rosenbaum)
One Antidote to Winter
I remember poking fun at snowbirds when we moved to Minnesota in '83. Why would anyone do that? Today, at the ripe age of 54, I see the wisdom of having a southern destination, especially for the most unnecessary month of the year: February.
My advice? Try vrbo.com. Home ownership sounds great, but renting is so much easier. A week, a month, the winter - you'd be amazed. Trust me on this. When you book a hotel you're a tourist. When you rent a house you're treated as a local. Big difference. If you want Florida sand without the traffic consider Seaside or Boca Grande.
Even an average winter will feel like a slap across the face, after last year's Memphis-like 22 inches of slush and 70s in March.
This winter? Probably warmer than normal, based on the trends, but not as easy as last winter.
Headlines include a deepening drought and a Jekyll & Hyde pattern. The sun reappears today; highs near 60. 70 isn't out of the question Monday & Tuesday.
A deepening storm pulls cold air into Minnesota late week; Wednesday rain mixes with a few flurries by Thursday night. 60s return the last week of October.
Anxious about the winter to come? Consider renting a warm front or two!
Graphic credit above: "The continental U.S. had its hottest average temperature in 118 years, according to federal researchers. Five of eight regions also set records (in red), while three others had their second or third highest average temperatures. The Pacific Northwest was also "above normal."
Image credit above: "A new pan-European study suggests that the economic value of forests will decline between 14% and 50% due to climate change. If measures are not taken to change this, the damage could reach several hundred billion euros, say researchers led by the Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research (WSL) in Switzerland. The study was presented in the journal Nature Climate Change."