Storm Reports. For more specifics on hail and flooding reports from Sunday, click here, data from NOAA.
Storm Damage Reports. Ham Weather's Aeris "Broadcaster" app showed the tornado touchdown at 8:58 pm and wind damage in the Excelsior area around 7:53 pm Sunday evening.
Ding-Worthy Hail. Thanks to Curt Lentner for sending in this photo of the 1.5" diameter hail that pelted Andover, Minnesota (Anoka County) Sunday evening. This was the same "supercell" that dropped a possible tornado near St. Francis around 8:58 pm.
Too Close For Comfort. WeatherNation TV meteorologist Addison Green snapped this photo near MSP International as the first wave of severe storms rolled in around the dinner hour Sunday. It was, what, maybe 1/4 mile away? When you see lightning and hear thunder (simultaneously) you know it was less than 1/4 mile away.
30-Day Rainfall. This is impressive - NOAA Doppler Radar rainfall estimates show over 10" from the northern and western suburbs of the Twin Cities into southwestern Minnesota, and this was before yesterday's additional deluge.
"Bubbling Trouble". Andrew Casey sent in this photo of cumulus congestus sprouting into full-blown thunderstorms Sunday evening, via Facebook.
"Beryl" Coming Ashore. As of late last night Tropical Storm Beryl was approaching hurricane status, with 70 mph. sustained winds. A storm surge of 2-4 feet is possible for coastal Florida and Georgia, from Jacksonville north to Macon. Enhanced IR satellite loop courtesy of NOAA and WeatherTap.
Beryl's Projected Track. Here is an ensemble of models from NHC; nearly all seem to agree that Beryl will make a U-Turn, and push quickly across coastal South Carolina and North Carolina, then accelerate out into the Atlantic. However, the core of the storm may remain close enough to warm Gulf Stream waters to prevent rapid weakening, and considerable coastal flooding and beach erosion is possible from Charleston and Hilton Head to the Outer Banks of North Carolina.
Power Outages. Tens of thousands of Jacksonville, Florida residents are without power, due to Beryl's 60-80 mph. wind gusts. The latest map showing outages from JEA.com.
Tropical Storm Beryl Discussion From Baron Services in Huntsville:
"What's going on? Basically people with technical smarts just use their abilities to better rationalize their already-held views. And why is that? Fitting in with your friends matters a lot more to people than getting climate science right, suggests Kahan." - from a USA Today article, details below
"The question should be whether the government should continue to underwrite extremely profitable, mature industries--especially highly polluting ones--at the expense of nurturing new, promising low-carbon alternatives. The obvious answer is no. Renewables currently generate only about 5 percent of U.S. electricity, but by 2030 they have the potential to produce more than 40 percent, half coming from wind. That would just about replace the share currently generated by coal, which is responsible for more than 80 percent of U.S. utility sector carbon emissions."
- from a Huffington Post article below.
Could Another Hurricane Andrew Surprise Us? Statistically, it's only a matter of time - hopefully we won't be surprised, but sun-sentinel.com poses an important question; here's an excerpt: "With peak gusts of more than 200 mph, leaving a startling swath of destruction, Andrew's legacy taught us five important lessons:
No.1: Warning time is critical
Andrew, which struck on Aug. 24, 1992, intensified in two days from a tropical storm into Category 5, picking up forward speed. Forecasters posted a hurricane warning only 20 hours before the strike. "The hurricane hit quicker than what was anticipated," said Chris Landsea, the hurricane center's science and operations officer. Those 16 hours of additional warning time under today's hurricane center protocols would make a big difference, emergency managers said. "It's going to have people pay attention and watch closer for a longer period of time, and that's a good thing," Bill Johnson, director of Palm Beach County emergency management said."
* Hurricane Andrew time-lapse satellite sequence courtesy of NASA.
$175 Million Worth of Hail Damage In Louisville - Thousands of New Ford Escapes Damaged. Here's a story from the Courier-Journal: "Nearly a month after the worst hail storm to hit Jefferson County in several years bashed cars and homes with hail as large as baseballs, the resulting cost is climbing past $175 million. The massive damage has swamped insurance adjusters, body shops and roofing businesses, as Kentuckians file claims and try to fix their dinged-up cars and battered shingles. The PCS unit of Verisk Analytics said the $175 million estimate applies only to insured losses. The amount of losses of the uninsured would likely add many millions of dollars to the total cost of the storm."
21,000 Acre Blaze. Fires continue to intensify over the U.P. of Michigan. MSNBC.com has an update. Photo courtesy of AP and msnbc.com.
A Year After A Rare Killer Tornado, Residents On One Massachussets Road Are On Rebound. Here's an excerpt of a story from AP and The Washington Post: "MONSON, Mass. — Pia Rogers still goes home every day, even though all that remains of her two-story farmhouse are two granite front steps. When it rains, treasures pop up in the dirt. That’s where the 39-year-old’s wedding and engagement rings were found after a tornado cut a swath through this rural Massachusetts town on June 1, 2011..... Four tornadoes touched down in Massachusetts, destroying or damaging 1,400 houses and 78 businesses. Damage to insured property surpassed $200 million. Three people died because of the storm, the state’s first tornado deaths in 16 years. Monson, population 8,500, got a visit from the biggest twister. With 160-mph wind gusts, it touched down downtown before crossing Bethany Road in one of the worst-hit neighborhoods."
Photo credit above: "The storm flattened this church near Mirabel, Que." (Pascal Robidas/Radio-Canada)
This is a terrible idea for a couple of reasons, explains Julie Rochman, president of the Insurance Institute for Business & Home Safety. "A, it doesn't work. And B, it's a really bad idea to stand in front of a window when a tornado is flinging debris all over the place. Plus, if there's an opening in the window, you could be sucked out."
Rochman recommends that people "leave their windows alone and instead go to a windowless area, like a shelter, your basement or a windowless room."
- "Locate and agree on a safe room. Plan to find the lowest place in the house, without windows. Usually this is the basement or an interior closet or storeroom. Meet as a family and agree to the plan to meet there in case of emergency. Be sure that each family member has a plan for shelter away from home in case of a storm that doesn’t allow everyone to get home.
- Supplies. Be sure to keep supplies on hand in or near the safe room. These should include: water, a water purification kit, non-perishable snacks/food, blankets and pillows, clothing, first aid, medical equipment for special-needs family members, pre-moistened towelettes, hand sanitizer, zip-lock plastic bags, disposable eating ware, duct tape, necessary toiletries, flashlights with fresh batteries, radio, cell phone with charged batteries, entertainment items such as books, or games, pet care items. If you have a baby or toddler you will need appropriate supplies: diapers, baby food, formula, toys, etc. You may want a battery-operated laptop with a cellular modem to be able to connect with email and Internet.
- Evacuation plan. Have a plan if you will be required to evacuate due to incoming weather. Hurricanes and floods approach more slowly giving people time to escape."
Who Knew? Thanks to Rainn Wilson and Twitter for passing that nugget along...
Sophomoric? Members Of Congress Talk Like 10th Graders, Analysis Shows. Here's an excerpt of a fascinating article from NPR: "Members of Congress are often criticized for what they do — or rather, what they don't do. But what about what they say and, more specifically, how they say it? It turns out that the sophistication of congressional speech-making is on the decline, according to the open government group the Sunlight Foundation. Since 2005, the average grade level at which members of Congress speak has fallen by almost a full grade.
Image credit above: Source: Sunlight Foundation analysis. Credit: Alyson Hurt / NPR
A Turbulent Sky. Thanks to Broadcast Weather meteorologist Miranda Hilger for sending in this photo of an ominous, swirling sky drifting over Excelsior Sunday evening.
Heroes Among Us
"Never take your freedom for granted" my father lectured as I was growing up. He escaped a virulently oppressive, communist regime in East Germany, and he drilled it into his kids that the things most of us take for granted aren't "free". Someone fought, and died, for our way of life.
My youngest son, Brett, is graduating from the Naval Academy tomorrow, heading to Pensacola to fly helicopters or fixed-wing F-18s. Like every other military family - I watch the news differently than I did before. Developments in China and Iran hit close to home. Hearts flutter when the phone rings at 2 am.
Take a moment to thank a military (hero) and their families today. Take nothing for granted. Go Navy! Beat Army.
It takes a lot to amaze me these days, but our recent moisture turnaround is nothing short of stunning: from severe drought to severe floods, in about 3 weeks. A soggy start gives way to some sun this afternoon, a drying southwest wind dropping dew points into the 50s. An instability shower is possible up north, but it should get better as the day goes on.
A cool snap steers soggy storms south of Minnesota; a dry week on tap! Next weekend looks sunny & promising, 80 by Sunday.
Yes, we're due for a nice weekend right about now.
Obama Silent On Climate Change In Big Iowa Energy Speech. Details from Joe Romm at Think Progress: "Last month, the White House edited climate change from Obama’s Earth Day 2012 proclamation. That was after the President omitted any discussion of climate change from his State of the Union address. But then, in a Rolling Stone interview, Obama unexpectedly broke out of his self-imposed silence on climate change, saying he thought climate change would be a campaign issue. Of course, it would be hard for climate to be a campaign issue if the president doesn’t actually talk about it in public. After all, his challenger Mitt Romney seems unlikely to bring it up, having Etch-a-Sketched his position on that subject many times. And Lord knows that media isn’t itching to talk about climate."
Climate Splits Science Views, Not Science Smarts. Here's an excerpt of an interesting article from USA Today: "...The study sought to test two explanations for the split, said Yale's Dan Kahan, who led the study, in a statement: "The first attributes political controversy over climate change to the public's limited ability to comprehend science, and the second, to opposing sets of cultural values." The first notion doesn't wash, says the study, finding a small increase in the odds of folks seeing global warming as not too serious in the most science literate people in the survey. Instead the best explanation for the split came from looking at response differences between people with individualistic viewpoints, less concerned about the environment, and people with more community-focused ones, who are more concerned, says the study."
Fund For "Climate Justice" Launched. The story from The Press Association: "A fund aimed at helping some of the world's poorest communities tackle climate change will be launched in Scotland later this week. First Minister Alex Salmond will be joined by the former Irish president, human rights champion Mary Robinson, when he launches the climate justice fund in Edinburgh on Thursday. Details of the fund are expected to be announced then. Looking ahead to the event, Mr Salmond said: "The huge injustice of climate change is that it is those who have done the least to cause the problem, the most vulnerable from the world's poorest communities, who are hardest hit. "That is why Scotland is committed to working towards climate justice."
Photo credit above:
Photo credit above: "Warming has allowed the brown argus butterfly to rapidly expand its range in England and Wales." Louise Mair.