90 Possible Today and Saturday. Models are in pretty good alignment. Assuming the sun is out much of today and at least the first half of tomorrow, we stand a good chance of reaching the 90-degree barrier both days, followed by a noticeable cool-down on Sunday. HIghs next week will be more moderate, generally in the 70s to near 80 by the end of the week.
Answer: "Thomas Schlatter, a NOAA scientist and contributor to Weatherwise magazine addressed this question in a past issue. Of course the answer is highly dependent on cloud volume. But consider a cumulus cloud with a volume of one cubic mile (1 mile wide, 1 mile long, and 1 mile deep) and a water content of 1 gram/cubic meter. This would calculate to a weight of about 9 million pounds (nearly 1.1 million gallons). That's quite a load to remain suspended in the atmosphere, but of course it does, primarily because of the droplet size and the updraft winds that hold these water droplets aloft until they reach a critical mass."
Graphic credit above: "Diagram of the field campaign's research platforms gathering data on a thunderstorm. Click on image for a larger version." Credit: NCAR.
Photo credit above: "Max Mayfield gives some first hand accounts of his experiance during Hurricane Andrew to an audience of weather experts and emergency managers as they look back at how Hurricane Andrew changed what they do. The 20th anniversary of the big one is a main topic at the annual governor's hurricane conference in Lauderdale. C.W. Griffin / Miami Herald Staff."
Photo credit above: "The medical helicopter at St. John's Hospital was tossed into the in the parking lot after a tornado on May 22, 2011, swept through the center of Joplin, Mo., causing widespread damage."
Illustration credit above: "Diagram showing the differences between orbits of a typical near-Earth asteroid (blue) and a potentially hazardous asteroid, or PHA (orange) (Image: NASA/JPL-Caltech)."
Photo credit above: Jackson Citizen Patriot, Danielle Salisbury/Associated Press. "Ryan Hart, poses for a photo in Jackson, Mich. Hart, 14, found a piece of finger in his Arby’s sandwich. Jackson police and the county health department say an Arby’s employee cut her finger on a meat slicer. Health officials believe the employee then left her station, and other workers continued to fill orders before they became aware of what happened."
"Anyone who has spent a few nights in a tent during a storm can tell you: The world doesn't care all that much if you live or die" wrote Anthony Doerr.
If you're heading out to enjoy Minnesota's 10,000 plus lakes take a radio, or a few storm apps on your smart phone. Riding out a severe storm in your car or truck is probably safer than huddling in a tent with 90 mph winds shrieking overhead.
That said - the odds are in your favor. Out of 100 thunderstorms fewer than 10 will become severe; less than 1 will ever go on to spawn a tornado.
A new research study shows the number of 3 inch downpours hitting Minnesota has doubled since 1961; a 203% spike for Wisconsin. The rain is not falling as gently as it did for your grandparents. Welcome to Weather 2.0. Details on the weather blog.
A "hot front" lures the mercury near 90 today, again Saturday - probably the hottest weather of 2012, to date. The dreaded dew point may reach mid 60s tomorrow, a good excuses to take a dip in the nearest lake. Strong storms rumble in late Saturday. The European (ECMWF) solution keeps heavy rain around much of Sunday, as temperature drop into the 70s.
Monday looks perfect. No surprise there.
Photo credit above: "The sun reflects over thin sea ice and a few floating icebergs." Credit: Jefferson Beck/NASA
Photo credit above: "A plane taking off from Newcastle airport." Photograph: Owen Humphreys/AP
Photo credit above: "Post-hurricane flooding in Lake Charles, La. Credit: Chuck Simmins, CC BY 2.0."