In Case You Were Wondering....
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 1045 AM CDT SAT SEP 29 2012 ...FROST AND FREEZE HEADLINES HAVE CEASED FOR THE FALL SEASON... IN COORDINATION WITH SURROUNDING OFFICES AND LOCAL AGRICULTURAL SPECIALISTS...IT HAS BEEN DETERMINED THE GROWING SEASON HAS ENDED ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA DUE TO EARLIER FROSTS AND FREEZES. THUS...FROST ADVISORIES AND FREEZE WARNINGS WILL NO LONGER BE ISSUED UNTIL THE GROWING SEASON BEGINS AGAIN IN SPRING 2013.
October 4. Mean date of the first 32-degree temperature in the Twin Cities. Source: MN Climate Office.
- White Bear drains a very small watershed and has always had big decreases in area and volume during extended dry periods when rainfall and melting snow do not keep up with evaporation.
- Chemical testing of water from wells around the lakes confirms that lake water is flowing out the bottom of the lake into groundwater aquifers that feed those wells.
- Pumping from high-capacity wells in suburban communities that mostly draw their water from those aquifers more than doubled over the last 30 years.
Photo credit above: "White Bear Lake is plummeting to a record low water level due to the current drought and large amount of groundwater pumping. Some lakeshore property owners have had to constantly expand their docks to reach water's edge." (MARLIN LEVISON/STARTRIBUNE).
"The nation’s fishermen and hunters are in the frontline of our field naturalists. Doing what they love best they see firsthand the impact of climate change on natural systems and our wildlife. Their conclusions are based on observations made over years spent in the out of doors." - from a post at Think Progress below.
USA Could See Record Quiet Year For Tornadoes. One silver lining to record heat and drought? No clouds, no wind shear, no boundaries to spin up tornadic "supercells". Here's a clip from a story at USA Today and firstcoastnews.com: "Following on the heels of a deadly 2011, when almost 1,700 tornadoes killed 553 Americans, 2012 has been a remarkably quiet year for tornadoes across the USA. "We may set an all-time record low for the year," says meteorologist Harold Brooks of the National Severe Storms Laboratory in Norman, Okla. So far this year, about 750 tornadoes have been reported in the USA. At this time last year, about 1,500 had formed. An average year, to date, has about 1,200 tornadoes, says Greg Carbin, warning coordination meteorologist at the Storm Prediction Center in Norman." Graphic: Greg Carbin, NOAA Storm Prediction Center.
Hurricane Isaac Damaged 59,000 Homes In Louisiana, Officials Estimate. Keep in mind Isaac was a Category 1 storm, but it stalled, prolonging storm surge waves and torrential rains. Here's an excerpt from The Times-Picayne at nola.com: "Hurricane Isaac damaged nearly 59,000 homes as the slow-moving storm crawled across southeast Louisiana, according to the latest damage estimates released Friday. The Governor's Office of Homeland Security and Emergency Preparedness said the most severe damage hit houses and rental units in St. John the Baptist and Plaquemines parishes, where flooding swamped some homes with several feet of water. The latest estimates -- 46,663 owner-occupied houses and 12,289 rental units damaged by the storm -- were more than four times the preliminary figures released a week after Isaac made landfall Aug. 28."
I've been trying to go up in a hot air balloon and it's always too windy and called off. What's the wind forecast for Sunday the 30th around 9 am? Thanks.
* file photo above taken in early March, 2011. That was the winter MSP picked up 86" of snow.
Twitter is 'gonna be HUGE!
* photo above from Peg Linge, who snapped this blog-worthy photo of a memorable sunrise from her yard in Prescott, Wisconsin Saturday morning.
A 6 month boating season...in Minnesota? It's been quite a year. Thursday evening I participated in a town hall presentation on climate change at Champlin Park High School. University of St. Thomas climate scientist John Abraham spoke, along with Lee Frelich, Director of the University of Minnesota's Center for Forest Ecology.
I'm not easily shocked anymore, but Dr. Frelich showed a slide that left me a little wobbly: a photo of magnolia trees in full bloom on the St. Paul Campus. On March 27, 2012. "Early spring of 2012 was similar to projected temperatures for a "business as usual" climate change scenario for the year 2090" he explained to a rapt audience of concerned citizens.
Bottom line: the changes we're seeing are happening much faster than those (alarmist!) climate scientists predicted 20-30 years ago.
I'm confident we'll figure out solutions, but getting past denial is step 1.
Welcome to The Big Slide: near 80 again today under a flawless sky; a metro-wide freeze possible by next Saturday morning. Heavy rain spreads over Iowa and Wisconsin, but not here. Farmers are worried. So are residents of White Bear Lake. Evaporation and wells are taking a toll.
We need rain, but I don't see any rapid reversals to our dry pattern looking out into mid-October.
* photo above courtesy of Jenna Williams and Dr. Lee Frelich, Director of the University of Minnesota's Center for Forest Ecology.
Photo credit above: "Impacts of climate change are mostly keenly felt in developing countries where damage to agricultural production from extreme weather is contributing to deaths from malnutrition, poverty and their associated diseases." Credit: NEWSCOM.
When Will Candidates Address Climate Change? Here's an excerpt of an Op-Ed at delawareonline.com: "...A study published last year by scientists at Stanford and MIT reported that chemically removing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere would cost about $1,000 a ton. That means it would cost $600 trillion to remove 600 billion tons, and we’re increasing our “environmental debt” by more than $30 trillion a year! Those numbers can be compared to the 2011 world GDP of about $70 trillion.As Hansen said: “The era of doubts, delays and denial, of ineffectual half-measures, must end...." Photo credit above: politico.com.
Photo credit above: "Former South Carolina Republican Rep. Bob Inglis now runs the Energy and Enterprise Initiative." (Energy and Enterprise Initiative)