2.80" normal rain as of September 27.
77.45% of Minnesota in moderate drought - up from 13.67% just 3 months ago. Details below.
331 months/row where the global temperature exceeded the 20th century average. Source: NASA GISS.
1.7" snow fell on the Twin Cities on September 26, 1942, the earliest 1"+ snowfall in modern-day history.
101.5" snow fell on the Twin Cities during calendar year 1983. Source: Minnesota Climate Office.
"The nation’s fishermen and hunters are in the frontline of our field naturalists. Doing what they love best they see firsthand the impact of climate change on natural systems and our wildlife. Their conclusions are based on observations made over years spent in the out of doors." - from a post at Think Progress below.
Changes in the Wind
Welcome to the 16th month in a row of warmer than average temperatures across Minnesota; a consistent warm streak since June, 2011.
The odds of a coin landing on "heads" 20 times in a row is 1 in a million, so yes, this is unusual.
You don't have to troll the web for peer-reviewed science papers. Just look out the window. Monitor lake water temperatures (and ice-out dates). Track migration patterns of birds and other wildlife. What's growing in my garden that wasn't there 30 years ago?
The National Wildlife Federation released a poll, showing 69 percent of hunters & anglers believe we should "reduce carbon emissions contributing to a warmer, drier world".
I don't pretend to have the answer key, but we passed "normal weather" a long time ago.
And no, winter is not imminent. Last year our first flurries came on November 9. Ten days later we saw 3 inches of snow.
This may be the weekend to soak up peaking fall colors up north: sunny 70s spill over into the middle of next week.
Cooler air pushes south the latter half of next week, setting up an atmospheric tug-of-war that may spark a little rain the first weekend of October, but not the 4-8" soaking we need right now.
Photo credit above: "Former South Carolina Republican Rep. Bob Inglis now runs the Energy and Enterprise Initiative." (Energy and Enterprise Initiative)