Beyond Cabin Fever
Hi. I'll be your weather therapist today. "Dr. Douglas - I can't sleep. I'm anxious, irritable & moody. I dream of glaciers coming down my driveway. I read your 7-Day Outlook and want to hurl. Help me."
Hang on Dear Reader. My forecast of a "light-switch spring" may come true: ankle-deep in slush - with chirping birds & tornado sirens.
We may top 70F next weekend, based on ECMWF guidance. A rain/snow mix tomorrow evening - but temperatures boomerang to near 70F by Saturday afternoon, maybe even a few severe T-storms late Sunday? Something for the entire family. The extremes just keep getting more extreme. How this long overdue temperature spike will impact the 1-3 FEET of snow up north and a potential for major river flooding is unknown, but this can't be good news for the Red River at Fargo.
Historic flooding in Chicago may be an omen of muddy torrents to come. No, the transition to summer will not be painless.
21F low yesterday in the cities; the first record low since 2004 in the metro area. The sun is as high in the sky as it is in late August. You can get a sunburn now shoveling snow. Amazing.
Rain today gives way to a slushy mix Monday night; 1-3" possible south of MSP. A little slush is possible on lawns and fields in the metro Monday night - right now it does NOT look like a rerun of last week.
Some anglers are still ice-fishing up on Pelican Lake. It was such a jarring sight that I had to stop and take pictures. Even the old timers are shaking their heads in wonder.
It almost makes me wonder what's coming next?
Fiona - I found the information at the Minnesota State Climate Office. Fun weather factoids to annoy friends and loved ones:
1874 April 29 (latest 60F high on record in the Twin Cities)
1904 April 26
1947 April 26
1951 April 25
1975 April 25
1965 April 21 (year of the EF-4 tornadoes that hit on May 6 in the Twin Cities)
1876 April 20
* latest U.S. Drought Monitor for Minnesota is here - data from NOAA and USDA.
* Thursday 24-hour rainfall map from NOAA here.
Graphic credit above: Wunderground. "The rains that fell in a 24-hour period ending at 7 am EDT Thursday, April 18, 2013 over Northern Illinois were the type of rains one would expect see fall only once every 40 years (yellow colors), according to METSTAT, Inc. (http://www.metstat.com.) METSTAT computed the recurrence interval statistics based on gauge-adjusted radar precipitation and frequency estimates from NOAA Atlas 14 Volume 2, published in 2004 (http://dipper.nws.noaa.gov/hdsc/pfds/.) METSTAT does not supply their precipitation recurrence interval forecasts or premium analysis products for free, but anyone can monitor the real-time analysis (observed) at: http://metstat.com/solutions/extreme-precipitation-index-analysis/"
I really enjoy your blog... I just looked up the record data for this weekend and it looks like there is a good chance we set a daily record low temperature on Saturday. When was the last we had a daily record low temperature in the Twin Cities?
We tied a record low on September 15, 2011 of 36 degrees that was also set 2007 and 1964. The last time the Twin Cities broke a record low was August 21, 2004 with 44 degrees. The last time we broke a record low maximum temperature was June 23, 2011 with 63 degrees.
Pete Boulay, Minnesota State Climate Office
* update: the official low at MSP Saturday morning was 21F, breaking the old record, the first record low for the Twin Cities since 2004.
Graphic credit above: "Image courtesy of Keith Koper, University of Utah Seismograph Stations."
Image credit: "NASA/GSFC/Suomi NPP."
Image credit" "The Colorado River from space on March 12, 2013." NASA Earth Observatory.
Photo credit above: "A crew from the Department of Corrections and Rehabilitation cuts foliage to help contain a wind-driven brush fire that broke out near Fillmore last week, forcing evacuations and threatening homes. Southern California is marching toward its fourth-driest year since 1877, and that has firefighters increasingly girded for battle." (Al Seib, Los Angeles Times / April 9, 2013)
* interactive Guardian map above is here.