"Keep your expectations low - that way you'll never be disappointed."
That certainly applies to weather, especially this spring. Some sensitive readers may need counseling after this forecast. Keep in mind it's a 7-Day Outlook, which is almost guaranteed to change, as new data fuels new computer runs.
Why the pointed pangs of paranoia? Long-range guidance is hinting at rain mixed with some wet snow up north Monday, as a storm tracks south & east of Minnesota. A sure thing? Absolutely not, and even if it does snow a little odds are it won't stick.
That said, April snows are especially annoying. Yes, we may experience a brush with slush early next week.
Unusual? Not really. During a typical April 2" falls on the metro - any snow usually melts within 12-24 hours. Deep breaths.
A stray shower or sprinkle is possible today as a cooler front washes out nearby. A dry Friday gives way to showers, even a clap of thunder Saturday as a cooler front arrives. The ECMWF is printing out about .43" rain for Saturday. Right now I don't expect any heavy snow on Monday, but a light mix is possible north/west of MSP.
The main storm track stays south of town next week. Long range models show 50s, even a shot at 60F by mid-April.
I'd like to be pleasantly surprised. Just once.
Graphic credit above: "Comparison of tornadoes F/EF3 or higher in 1974 and 2011." Chart by Kathryn Prociv.
Graphic credit above: "Extent of surface melt over Greenland's ice sheet July 8, 2012 (left) and July 12, 2012 (right), melting shown in pink." Courtesy of NASA.
The Hype of Sustainability
Early on, Ms. Peters tears away at the misguided belief that if we develop sustainable technologies and change human behavior it will prevent the globe from "flipping" into the next Ice Age. It will not. We have delayed the latter some ticks of the geological clock, but we can't stop climate change, because that is what the earth has been doing for millions of years -- long before people walked upright..."