NOAA's Climate Prediction Center is predicting a warmer than average October for much of America, including Minnesota. The first frost comes later in autumn now, extending allergy season nationwide. In fact the Asthma and Allergy Foundation of America says that rising temperatures and CO2 levels are extending ragweed season over northern cities by up to a month. Yes, those extra lukewarm days come with a price it seems.
At least we didn't make the Top 10 Worst Cities for Allergies. Wichita has the dubious distinction of being number one, according to Live Science. Details below.
A refreshing weekend is shaping up - sunshine returning today with highs in the 60s and less wind than yesterday. A fine day to do yard work, wash the car, take apart the dock, or better yet find a soft couch and fall into a college football coma.
70s return next week, maybe 80F by Friday, but the pattern still doesn't favor significant rain. For that we'll have to get much colder air flowing out of Canada. A large temperature gradient or contrast usually whips up the big storms with heavy, sustained rains, as opposed to garden-variety T-storms.
I don't see a real storm looking out 2 weeks.
1. Wichita, Kan.
2. Jackson, Miss.
3. Knoxville, Tenn.
4. Louisville, Ky.
Typhoon Usagi. On Friday Usagi was a Category 4 storm, with 130-160 mph winds, carving out 48 foot seas in the Luzon Straight. Usagi should weaken into a Category 2 typhoon (same thing as a hurricane) before coming ashore near Hong Kong late Sunday, Hong Kong time - still capable of extensive damage and storm surge flooding.
* more details on this "gliders" from Rutgers. I need one of these for Pelican Lake.
Photo credit above: "A stranded home near Golden, CO on September 12" (Rick Wilking/Reuters).
Photo credit above: "A view of a residential area destroyed by heavy rains, with some areas receiving as much as 18 inches in a 24-hour period in Boulder, Colorado, on September 14, 2013."
Fire And Rain, Colorado Edition. The combination of a 14 year drought and recent wildfires may have made a bad situation much worse. Here's a clip from a story at Mother Jones: "...Still, the compounded damages from the cycle of wildfire and flooding could very well be amplified on the Front Range in coming years. Climate models foretell larger regional storms, and scientists have also predicted bigger, more intense wildfires in Colorado's future. "What is that going to mean for the people living in the mouth of these areas?" wonders Hyde. If the 100-year flood that turned Boulder inside out last week is any indication, living at the base of the Rockies—while arguably worth it—isn't getting any less complicated."
Photo credit above: ".
Into The Wildfire. Here's a clip from an article examining how residents of the west are coping with increasingly large and devastating fires, and what new tools and technologies may help in the years ahead, from the New York Times Magazine: "Lassen Volcanic National Park, in Northern California, consists of more than 100,000 acres of wilderness and woodlands surrounding Lassen Peak, a volcano named for a pioneer and huckster who guided migrants through the area, that last blew its top in 1915, before anybody knew it was an active volcano. Last summer the park, like much of the West, was in the midst of a yearlong drought — which could be more accurately described as the continuation of a decade-long drought that had merely been less severe for a couple of years. A forecast of thunderstorms might seem like welcome news for a firefighter in charge of so many acres of dry forest — parts of the park can get so hot and dry during the summer that rain evaporates before it reaches the trees — but Mike Klimek, the firefighter in charge of the park on July 23, 2012, knew better..."
The Many Small Ways Americans Are Adapting To Climate Change. This will be a growing theme in the years to come, not only trying to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions, but adapting to changes already in the pipeline. Details on how some communities are already adapting in this excerpt from The Atlantic: "...In March of this year, a Gallup poll highlighted an interesting tension in American thinking on global warming: While a majority of respondents said they believe global warming has already begun, a majority also said they don’t expect to suffer any hardships from global warming within their lifetimes. What the survey didn’t ask was how many people across the country are already reacting to rising temperatures—and preparing for those ahead. This past summer, twenty-somethings Allie Goldstein and Kirsten Howard took a road trip to document stories of what they call “climate resilience” – examples of individuals and communities finding creative ways to adapt to hotter summers, stronger storms, bigger wildfires, rising sea levels, and more. They visited 31 states and offset their minivan’s carbon emissions by purchasing carbon credits from Terrapass...."
Photo credit courtesy of Allie Goldstein and Kirsten Howard.